City's Title- But which one?

Predicting this years Premier League has been a nightmare with huge swings in form but hopefully with 24 games gone the form is starting to settle.

What have we seen over the last 7 games

Falling away

Palace have completely imploded in the first 17 games they averaged an impressive 1.7 points per game their average over last 7 games have been 0.28.

Arsenal quite publicly have suffered a regression dropping their average return by 0.83 over last 7 games, only beaten by the aforementioned Palace and Watford at 0.93.

Picking Up

The biggest improvement comes from Swansea improving their average return going up by 0.6 points in the last 7 weeks, out of the title challengers only Tottenham have improved their points per game average.

Chelsea are improving but they have only been as good as Swansea so hardly back to their best.


How do they finish up?

1	Man City	77
2	Leicester	76
3	Arsenal	73
4	Tottenham	71
5	ManUtd	65
6	West Ham	62
7	Liverpool	54
8	Southampton	54
9	Stoke	53
10	Everton	51
11	Chelsea	50
12	Watford	47
13	Palace	47
14	Bournemouth	45
15	West Brom	45
16	Swansea	42
17	Newcastle	34
18	Norwich	33
19	Sunderland	31
20	Aston Villa	21

Looking at the bottom first the relegation battle now looks 2 from 3 to join the hapless Villa (who would need a 180% performance improvement to save themselves now)

Swansea, West Brom and Bournemouth will be on the beach early April.

West Ham will leave Upton Park to enjoy Europa Cup action at the Olympic Stadium

Those still doubting Leicester they will need to drop performance by over 30% in the remaining games to miss out on the Champions League given they have dropped 25% over last 7, I cant see them dropping any further.

Cup Commitments and double weeks will put pressure on some squads but in the end
Manchester City will just pip Leicester to the title but it is very close and this makes tomorrows game pivotal.